Autocrine TGF-β/ZEB/microRNA-200 signal transduction drives epithelial-mesenchymal transition: Kinetic models predict minimal drug dose to inhibit metastasis

The epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) is the crucial step that cancer cells must pass before they can undergo metastasis. The transition requires the activity of complex functional networks that downregulate properties of the epithelial phenotype and upregulate characteristics of the mesenchymal phenotype. The networks frequently include reciprocal repressions between transcription factors (TFs) driving the EMT and microRNAs (miRs) inducing the reverse process, termed mesenchymal-epithelial transition (MET). In this work we develop four kinetic models that are based on experimental data and hypotheses describing how autocrine transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) signal transduction induces and maintains an EMT by upregulating the TFs ZEB1 and ZEB2 which repress the expression of the miR-200b/c family members. After successful model calibration we validate our models by predicting requirements for the maintenance of the mesenchymal steady state which agree with experimental data. Finally, we apply our validated kinetic models for the design of experiments in cancer therapy. We demonstrate how steady state properties of the kinetic models, combined with data from tumor-derived cell lines of individual patients, can predict the minimal amount of an inhibitor to induce a MET.